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League Roundup: Brasileirão Série A [19th Round]
Brief note: In 2 days (Wednesday, 18th of September) will be played the 2nd leg of the Copa do Brasil finals between Internacional x Athletico Paranaense . If you'd like to see the game, it'll be played at 9:30 PM BRT. (5:30 PM in PDT; 8:30 PM in EDT; 1:30 AM in BST; 3:30 AM in AST; 5:30 AM in IST; 8:30 AM in CST; 10:30 AM in AEST)
44’: Gabriel Barbosa (FLA). In the duel for the 1st spot of the league, Flamengo wins with a beautiful Gol from Gabigol This was an awaited clash, as not only they were the teams on top of the table, but they are also commanded by gringo coaches, in Jorge Jesus and Sampaoli. And since both clubs last match was the Brasileirão round last weekend, they had a full week of preparation to make this a good match, and they delivered. Jorge Jesus' Flamengo plays naturally a very offensive football, and in a Maracanã with 62k people, the pressure comes from inside and outside the field. Sampaoli changed from the usual formation he was using, a 4-2-1-3 to a 3atb, and it worked on soaking the pressure Flamengo tried to put from the start. And because of that, Santos ended up with 2-3 good counters coming from Soteldo and Marinho that could put the score in favor of the Santistas on the first half. But the deadly counter of this game came from the home team. Everton Ribeiro intercepted a bad pass from Sasha and rolled the ball to Gabigol, who scored a beautiful chip goal from outside the box. Flamengo is scoring a lot of bangers, I gotta admit. Coming back from Half-time, Flamengo kept the pressure and got 2 good chances to score again in the first 10', while Santos struggled to get good attacking moments, even after Sampaoli changed back to a 2atb system and did offensive subs, Diego Alves had not many reasons to get worried. Flamenguistas are full empolgated right now, and they have all the right to be. They ended up the 1st half of the league winning all the home games, something that only happened 1 time before in Brasileirão. Santos not only lost in the field but on the table too as now they are in 3rd place, 2 points behind Palmeiras and 5 away from Flamengo. Drawing at home with Fortaleza & CAhP reserves is getting worse every round. Both these teams will have another full week of training and only play again on the 20th round of Brasileirão next weekend.
45+1’: Bruno Henrique (PAL). On the reencounter of Mano Menezes with Cruzeiro, his new team comes out on top Mano Menezes playing against Cruzeiro in 2019 was something that few people expected 2 months ago. Last month the coach was fired after 3 seasons on the club and was quickly hired by Palmeiras, who had fired Felipão after the Libertadores elimination. Cruzeiro's new coach, legendary scorer-GK Rogério Ceni, is in some dangerous territory already. After the 1-4 defeat at home against Gremio last round, the coach said on the post-game interview about some locker-room problems, and if that the scenario doesn't change soon, he will consider leaving his spot. This led to a week full of protest from Torcidas Organizadas (kinda like the Brasilian ultras), at the house of Cruzeiros VP's Itair Macedo, different locations on Belo Horizonte, and in front of Cruzeiros' training ground asking the board and some listed players to leave, and they even put some traps in the gates of the training grounds! Unfortunately for them, no player took the bait. But enough of outside-the-field stuff, lets talk about the match. Ceni did some changes on the starting 11, as he promised, and it almost paid out on the first 5' of game, but Weverton did 2 great saves. Palmeiras scored on the last minute of the 1st half after 2 Cruzeiro defenders clashed with each other, a chance that BH didn't waste. Apart from these 2 moments, the game lacked exciting plays, as many of the chances were outside-the-box shots and there were many wrong last-passes. Dudu's performance has to be praised, as he made Cruzeiro's left side sweat a lot to stop him. Palmeiras is back on track on the Brasileirão! Winning the postponed 16th round game against Fluminense during the week puts Verdão now only 3 points behind Flamengo. Cruzeiro is now back on the Relegation Zone. Funnily, Cruzeiro can help Palmeiras next week, as they will be playing at home against Flamengo. Its a very hard match, but a win here could be the turning point of Cruzeiro's season and Ceni tenure. Palmeiras only comes back on the field next weekend for the Brasileirão.
45+2': Ribamar (VAS); 73': Arthur Gomes (CHA); 75': Talles Magno (VAS). 17yo Talles Magno decides the match and Vasco conquers 3 points against Chape We, Brasilians, love to ask for coaches to use Academy players when the team is in bad form and the starters are not doing so hot. This was the scenario in Vasco, as neither Rossi, Valdivia and Marquinho are doing great, Vanderlei Luxemburgo gave the chance to Talles Magno to show his talent. But how important he became in such a short amount of time is something that no sane Vascaino a rare bred could have predicted. Last weekend both clubs had disappointing 2-0 defeats, Vasco to Bahia at home, and Chape's to direct opponent on relegation, CSA, away. They had to bring it all to the field. As I said before in another round-ups, Chape's strategy seems to be making their opponent play as bad as them. This would be the case this match too, if not for Talles Magno performance. Creating chances or shooting, the teenager was Vasco's main player again. The 1st goal came from Ribamar, with a beautiful chip goal in additional time. Chape couldn't let the tempo drop, but HT talk by Emerson Cris didn't seem to do much, as Vasco came back offering even more danger to Tiepo's net - whose performance also has to be praised, as he stopped 2 clear chances during the match. Chape got the draw in a strong header by Arthur Gomes, but only 2 minutes after, Talles Magno scored from outside-the-box to give the win to Gigante da Colina. Chape's Arena Condá used to be a fortress for the club, getting a lot of wins here was the reason for staying in Serie A for so long, but this season the mystic is not there. This was the last match for Emerson Cris as Chape's interim: he's going to be succeeded by Marquinhos Santos, who just got Juventude promoted from Serie C to B. Vasco is now getting closer to the nothing zone. Both clubs come back on the field next weekend for Brasileirão.
In an attack against defense match, Ceará cant breakthrough Botafogo's tight defense Last round, these teams got important results, Fogão defeated Galo at home, while Ceará fought back against Corinthians away to get a 2-2 draw. As said above, this match can be resumed as Ceara's attack against Botafogo's defense. Ceará domination can be seen on the post-game stats. Botafogo didn't bring danger to Diogo Silva's net! The score only didn't end in favor of Cearenses as these shots were either blocked by the deep-lying Botafogo's defense or saved by Gatito, who had yet another great performance for Botafogo's shirt. Ceará gets a point, but dominating a match like that and not winning tastes bitter. And 2 extra points would put them further away from the relegation spots. Botafogo keeps his position in the nothing zone. Next game of these teams will be next weekend for Brasileirão.
29': William Pottker (INT); 53': Neilton (INT); 64': William Pottker; 88’: Bruninho (CAM). Upset Alert: Inter reserves don't waste chances and defeat Galo at their home Oh boy, this is a spicy result. If you are familiar with Brazilian football, you probably know that Odair Hellman's Inter is known to be very strong at home and fragile away. They are also using a lot of their reserve squad, as this Wednesday 18/09 at 21:30 PM BRT they will be playing the return leg of Copa do Brasil finals at home against Athletico Paranaense (watch it!). The 1st goal came from a clumsy play by Galo's defense, who ended up on a Pottker's header into the cheek of Cleiton's net. Colorado's took advantage of the old and slow fullback duo of Rever (34) and Leonardo Silva (40), as the 2nd goal play shows. After the 2nd goal, Galo seemed to wake up, but Danilo Fernandes did 2 great saves to deny the home team. Then Pottker put the final nail in the coffin. Rodrigo Santana even tried some offensive subs, but the game was long lost. In the last minutes of the 2nd half, Bruninho scored the consolation goal for Galo. This was a direct clash for the G6 spot. Inter now gets the 4th spot on the table, leaving Galo 6 points behind in 9th place. Galo is in a really bad form right now: the last 5 league games have been defeats. Rodrigo Santana spot could be in danger if things don't change soon. Both of these clubs have important Cup matches during the week: Inter goes against Athletico Paranaense at home, in Beira-Rio, for the final of Copa do Brasil this Wednesday 18/09, 21:30 PM BRT. The paranaenses have a 1-0 advantage. Galo will travel to Argentina to play against Colón Thursday, for the Copa Sulamericana semifinals.
15': Jonathan (AVAI). In another upset, last-placed Avai gets an important win against Athletico Paranaense reserves at Arena da Baixada CAhP came from an away draw against Santos last round, playing with reserves also, while Avai got rammed by Flamengo at home. CAhP has a very strong and cohesive reserve squad, so Avai getting their 2nd win on the league in this game is very surprising. But it's important to say that, it wasn't easy at all. I gotta say that this match felt like an upgraded version of the Ceará x Botafogo game, as there was a goal and the chances created were far more dangerous. The winning goal was scored early on, from a Jonathan's pidgeon with a wing screamer on the corner of Leo's net. From that point onwards, it was all CAhP. Avai's GK Vladimir had at least 3 important saves, and 2 other shots from CAhP hit the post, one each half, and many other good chances were blocked inside the box by Avai's defense. At 90+2' ref awarded a PK for CAhP, in a handball from Mosquera. Happily, VAR warned him that it wasn't intentional at all. This defeat keeps CAhP safely in the nothing zone, while Avai gets closer to 19th placed Chapecoense. As said in above, CAhP will go against Internacional on the Copa do Brasil finals this Wednesday. Avai will have a free week to prepare for their next match on Brasileirão on the weekend.
29’: Jean Pyerre (GRE); 32’: Everton (GRE); 45’: Alisson (GRE). In the day they turn 116 years old, Gremio dominates Goiás Happy birthday Gremio! In their 116th anniversary, the team gave a great gift for the fans who filled the Arena Grêmio. Last round Goias had a heart-breaking defeat at home to Palmeiras, while Gremio thrashed Cruzeiro in Minas Gerais. And this Sunday afternoon, the fans showed up for their club's Birthday. And the gifts on the field were beautiful. The score was opened by Jean Pyerre incredible shot from very far away, curling into the goal. Everton Cebolinha added one more to the score in an opportune chance in the entry of the box. Goiás opened up more, trying to make their opponents advantage smaller, but this means getting counter-attacked by the fast and skilled attacking players from Gremio. In one of those counters, Alisson also scored a beautiful curling goal, the last one in the game still in the 1st half. Goiás couldn't really offer much danger to Grêmio, while the home team kept doing great plays and making Goias's GK Marcelo Rangel sweat. This win keeps Gremio in the nothing zone, but a good string of results could make them reach the G6 in a few rounds. Speaking on strings, this was the 3rd consecutive defeat for the Esmeraldinos, a worrying trend, as they are now only 3 points from the 1st team on the relegation zone. Gremio's next game is in the weekend for the Brasileirão, same thing for Goiás - the 15th placed team - who will receive Fluminense - 16th placed team in Serra Dourada.
40’: Paulo Henrique Ganso (FLU). With a big help from Cassio, Fluminense defeats Corinthians and leaves the relegation zone This match was a reedition of the clash that happened a few weeks ago in the Sulamericana's quarter-finals. In the international competition, a 1-1 aggregate was enough for the Paulista side to classify for the semifinals. After drawing 2-2 with Ceará last round, Corinthians had a good chance to keep the 4th spot on the table with a win here, as Fluminense had been defeated by Palmeiras in the postponed match played during the week. What we saw was very similar to what happened in Sulamericana's games. Corinthians was betting on Gustagol to score from a header - he even hit one on the post - from one of the many fouls Flu's defense gave to Corinthians, while Flu tried to keep possession and find spaces to infiltrate. The 1st half didn't have many exciting moments, till Cassio's Blunder. Ganso's shot was weak and in the middle of the goal, but he let it through his hands. Now, the cause of this mistake could be a concussion, as Cassio, during warm-up, received a direct hit on his face as the ball suddenly jumped on the very bad Mané Garrincha's field. The GK said that it was his mistake, not something medical, but anyways. Forced to attack, Corinthians started to keep more possession, while Flu sat back and tried to score from counters started by Yony Gonzalez, João Pedro, and Nenê. And when Carille subbed off Gustagol to put in Bosseli, the aerial ball advantage was lost and no real threat to Muriel's net was created. This result is amazing for Flu, as they finally leave the relegation zone, pushing Cruzeiro there. Corinthians lost the 4th spot to Internacional. Flu will have a week to enjoy being out of relegation zone before playing again on the weekend, while Corinthians plays this Wednesday, 18/09, against Independiente del Valle at home for the Sulamericana's Semi-finals.
10’: Felipe Pires (FOR); 14': Gilberto (BAH). 45' of attacking moments, 45' of nothing: Tricolores draw at Fonte Nova In a northeast derby, both tricolores had good reasons to fight for the win. Last round win against Vasco let Bahianos dreaming with the chance to end the 1st half of the league in the G6, while Fortaleza lost at home to Flu and had to win to get away from the relegation zone. And these teams delivered 45' of good football in Bahia. Fortaleza opened the score in a deadly counter, with Felipe Pires beating Bahia's GK Douglas Friedrich. The Tricolor Bahiano response came quickly! Only 3 minutes later, Arthur showed all his flair to get a PK, converted by Gilberto. From this point, most of the chances to score came from outside the box. Arthur created a couple of chances, but bad decisions ended up seeing them wasted. For the 2nd half, both teams had conservative postures, and few chances were created, mostly by outside-the-box shots. The Bahianos were hoping to end this round on the G6, but left disappointed. While Fortaleza keeps a 2-game distance from the relegation zone. These clubs only play again next weekend for the Brasileirão's 20th round.
55’: Bustamante (CSA); 87': Reinaldo (SP). São Paulo hammers hard but only gets 1 point in a frustrating game against CSA São Paulo is looking to find their post-Copa-America momentum when they got a good streak of wins to get closer to the top of the league. Last round they lost to Inter reserves in Rio Grande, while CSA got an important win against Chape, direct opponent on the relegation battle. I gotta say that this match felt like an upgraded version of the CAhP x Avaí game, as there were goals from both sides and there were a lot more chances created throughout the game. SP hammered CSA. A lot. I gotta praise CSA here, SP ended the 1st half with 17 shots, but CSA's defense was able to stop these shots from getting into Jordi's net - the GK also had good saves. The 2nd half was the same history, but now CSA was able to get some counters going. And in one of them, 4 CSA attackers invaded the area to make the play that ended up with Bustamante scoring. A bucket of ice-cold water on the Sáo Paulinos on the stands. SP was already pressuring the Alagoanos, but now they had to save face. In the lasts minutes of regular time, Reinaldo equalized the game, but it was already too late for a reaction. The home team was booed at the final whistle and is now 10 points behind 1st placed Flamengo. CSA are satisfied leaving São Paulo with a point, and now they are 2 points away from 17 & 18th placed teams, so they can leave the Relegation zone with a combination of results. Paulistas and Alagoanos only play again next week for Brasileirão round.
Saturday (September 21th ): Botafogo x São Paulo at 11AM. Cruzeiro X Flamengo at 5PM. Corinthians X Bahia at 7PM. Santos X Grêmio at 9PM. Sunday (September 22th ): Internacional X Chapecoense at 11AM. Fortaleza X Palmeiras , Vasco X Athletico Paranaense , CSA x Ceará , all at 4PM. Goiás X Fluminense at 7PM. Monday (September 23th): Avai X Atletico Mineiro at 8PM. The highlighted games are considered the ones to watch. The schedule is in BRT(Brasília Time / Brazil Time).
1X2 OR WIN-DRAW-WIN PREDICTION FOR SLASK WROCLAW VS POGON SZCZECIN
Strong recent and past performances that Slask Wroclaw have demonstrated lead us to understand that the prospects for a home win are quite OK for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Pogon Szczecin might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. However, it is not really the best bet prediction for this match as there are better options below. Note that you can subscribe to the VIP Surebet predictions by subscribing to one of the VIP packages. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See other options below. SLASK WROCLAW VS POGON SZCZECIN
GG/NG (BTTS) PREDICTIONS FOR SLASK WROCLAW VS POGON SZCZECIN
Slask Wroclaw and Pogon Szczecin might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Slask Wroclaw and Slask Wroclaw have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak striking that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.
Strong recent and past performances that Reims have demonstrated lead us to understand that the prospects for a home win are quite OK for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Lille might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. Click to see the last Reims vs Lille match prediction in April this year. However, it is not really the best bet prediction for this match as there are better options below. Note that you can subscribe to the VIP Surebet predictions by subscribing to one of the VIP packages. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See other options below.
OVEUNDER 1.5 PREDICTIONS FOR REIMS VS LILLE
Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Reims vs Lille. The oveunder 1.5 goals for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
OVER AND UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTIONS FOR REIMS VS LILLE
All signs indicate that not many goals might be scored in this game. 2 goals might even be on the higher side. An under 2.5 goals prediction is what you should really go with.
REIMS VS LILLE UNDEOVER 3.5 PREDICTIONS
In as much as Reims and Lille are expected to score some goals in this match, I do not see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals. They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine.
TOTAL GOALS PREDICTION
2 goals are expected to be scored in this match. If you prefer betting on this total goals betting market which usually comes with impressive odds then this is your best prediction. NG vs OVER 1.5 has always been a low scoring duel and not much is expected to change in this game. This bet comes with a probability of 0.262681163835618 and odds of 3.3.
EVEN & ODD NUMBER OF GOALS PREDICTION
Between an odd and even number of goals, an even number of goals is the more likely for this Reims vs Lille match. This has been verified by our betting software, expert prediction, and machine learning algorithms.
1X2 + GG/NG PREDICTION
Of all 1X2 + GG/NG predictions a 1+NG is the best shot you got for this particular match. An analysis of all possibilities for that market in this game indicates that 1+NG carries the least risk for Reims vs Lille. The probability for winning is 0.336537354947957 and the associated odds are 3.75.
GROUPED GOALS PREDICTION
Given the history of this Reims vs Lille match, the most likely combined goal numbers prediction is 2 or 3 goals. It is unlikely that the match would end with less than 2 goals or more than 3 goals. The odds are 1.9 and the respective probability for winning this bet is 0.462789824613608 which is quite high by all means.
Hello everyone About a year ago I made a relevant post about a suspicious match in Greece. The underdog became heavy favourite before the match start, a radio producer had talked about it a week ago and the final score verified the "information" of home win with many goals, ending 3-1. However, the community here got upset and tried to deny the fact that it was setup. So here comes another controversy. This is a match that played a couple of hours ago, Ukraine second league, Illychivets vs Hirnyk-Sport. I will provide everything I have and I will let the community here decide whether this match was "fixed" or not. It first seemed very suspicious to me when at 73' mins the score was 1-1 between these 2 teams and bet365 had available only the "over 3.5" market at 1.66 odds (!!!) Really suspicious to give such low odds at this time when you need 2 more goals... Home team to win was at about 1.25 odds. The odds were stable for about 5 minutes before that. I use a group page to post live tips etc. for my followers and this is the first post I made at that time about this match => http://prntscr.com/d76806 I visited betfair to check the money movement on this event. Close to 200k pounds were bet on this match, pretty unusual for an Ukrainian 2nd league match. This is my 2nd post about this match with screenshot from betfair attached, 15 minutes before the end of the game, score still 1-1 ======> http://prntscr.com/d769xk Please pay attention to the money being bet on home team at around 76' - 78'. At that time bet365 froze the markets until the end of the match and I was only looking the odds movement in betfair. Notice also that I make a prediction about the final score based on the "1X2" market money movement and "OveUnder" market money movement. 2-1 came at around 83'-84'. I went to check the betfair market for "Over 3.5 goals" right then and what I saw was like the "cherry on the top". 1.5k pounds bet on "Over 3.5 goals" at around 85' when the market is at 1.66 (!!!) when it should be at about 4.00 or more. Unfortunately I didn't think of screenshotting this at that time. Final Score ===> http://prntscr.com/d76bx2 The comments are yours. PS. it was a 2/1 half time/full time !!
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